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The 43rd Time Is the Charm Peace in the Middle East was priced in again this morning. The market is finally past it. Peace got priced in this morning. That makes 43 times in two months, give or take. Today's headline was Iran will be allowed to sell oil while negotiating. Crude dropped on the
Mr. Toad's Wild Ride The S&P expected move for today is $60. Here is what that is telling you. My power went out at 5 am this morning. Construction crew cut a cable and the whole area was down. When you lose power in Phoenix, you have until about 9 am before things get ugly.
Big Move — Now We Waitby Tony Rago Overnight delivered a sizable move, and when price travels that far outside of regular hours, it tends to distort the usual structure we rely on at the open. That puts more weight on the opening range — the first stretch of price action after the bell —
Hanging Tough — But Something Feels Offby Tony Rago Crude pushing up near 115 pre-market while equities are holding firm above 24,000 and 6,600 — on the surface, that’s strength, but the tone feels a bit disconnected. When you see multiple markets stretched like this without clean continuation, it often leaves the door open for
It feels loud out there. Headlines flying, oil ripping, volatility waking up from a nap. But when the noise cranks higher, that’s usually when the real opportunity shows up—if you’re disciplined enough to ignore the drama and trade the levels. Key Takeaways This Isn’t Panic It’s a Liquidity Event Monetary support is still
One year in, and the market still finds new ways to test discipline. Headlines are loud, oil is ripping, the dollar’s catching a bid, and everyone wants to predict the next move. I’m not here to predict — I’m here to react. When volatility shows up, you either chase it… or you trade it.